Research & News
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Ukraine War and the Path of Globalization (March 14, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF There are decades where nothing happens; and there are weeks where decades happen. ̶ Vladimir Lenin Over the coming weeks, we will be analyzing the impact of the war in Ukraine. Clearly, the situation is highly fluid[1] and projections on how the future will be affected by the war must… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (March 10, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices have spiked but are being hit by waves of profit-taking. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories unexpectedly fell 1.9 mb compared to a 1.5 mb draw forecast. The SPR declined 2.5 mb, meaning the net draw was 4.4 mb. In the details, U.S.… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Believe It or Not, Fiscal Policy Is Tightening (March 7, 2022)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF The U.S. economy and government economic policies have many moving parts, but investors often latch onto just one or two indicators or policy initiatives to gauge where asset prices are heading. These days, their focus has been on consumer price inflation and the Federal Reserve’s plan to hike… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (March 3, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices are moving sharply higher as sanctions expand against Russia. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories unexpectedly fell 2.6 mb compared to a 2.5 mb draw forecast. The SPR declined 2.4 mb, meaning the net build was 5.0 mb. In the details, U.S. crude… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Turkish Experiment (February 28, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF Don’t miss the accompanying Geopolitical Podcast, now available on our website and most podcast platforms: Apple | Spotify | Google The Turkish economy is being roiled by spiking inflation and a sharp decline in the Turkish lira (TRY). The orthodox response to such a macroeconomic crisis is austerity. Fiscal and… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (February 25, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Oil prices briefly moved above $100 per barrel on news of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories unexpectedly rose 4.5 mb compared to a 1.0 mb draw forecast. The SPR declined 2.4 mb, meaning the net build was 2.1 mb.… Read More »