Weekly Geopolitical Report

Weekly Geopolitical Report – Investment Implications of Changing Demographics: Part II (February 24, 2020)

by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA In Part I of this report, we looked at current key global population trends.  The report showed how plunging birth rates have been weighing on population growth and boosting average ages all over the world, potentially having a huge impact on the distribution of geopolitical power, economic prospects and future investment… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – Investment Implications of Changing Demographics: Part I (February 10, 2020)

by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA (Note: Due to the President’s Day holiday, our next report will be published on February 24.) In the 1960s and 1970s, people worried a lot about rapid population growth.  According to the United Nations, the world’s population was growing at an average annual rate of more than 1.9% during those decades,… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – The U.S.-China “Phase One” Trade Deal: Part II (February 3, 2020)

by Bill O’Grady In Part I of this report, we offered a detailed examination of “Phase One” of the recent trade agreement between the U.S. and China.  This week, in Part II, we will examine the ramifications of the deal and conclude the report with market effects. China appears to be the “loser” in this… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – The U.S.-China “Phase One” Trade Deal: Part I (January 27, 2020)

by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA After months of negotiations, the U.S. and China signed “Phase One” of what is expected to be a multiple-phase trade deal.  After noting media response to the agreement, we were struck by the dismissive consensus narrative that has developed.  Our careful review of the document seemed to suggest a much more… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – After Soleimani (January 13, 2020)

by Bill O’Grady (Due to the Martin Luther King Jr. Day holiday, our next report will be published on January 27.) On January 3rd, the U.S. launched a missile strike that killed Major General Qassem Soleimani, the leader of the Quds Force of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).  As a high-profile commander, his death… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2020 Geopolitical Outlook (December 16, 2019)

by Bill O’Grady and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA (This is the last report for 2019; the next report will be published January 13, 2020.) As is our custom, in mid-December, we publish our geopolitical outlook for the upcoming year.  This report is less a series of predictions as it is a list of potential geopolitical issues… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – Ukraine Under Zelensky (December 9, 2019)

by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA Because of the congressional impeachment inquiry into President Trump, people are hearing a lot about Ukraine and its new president, Volodymyr Zelensky.  However, it’s important to remember that Ukraine and its new leader are significant in their own right.  Russia has been keeping Ukraine under intense geopolitical pressure for the last… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – Lebanon and its “Revolution of the Millennials” (December 2, 2019)

by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA Working at NATO Headquarters in Brussels in the 1990s was a diverse experience: my coworker was Belgian, my boss was British, his boss was French and our secretary was Turkish.  But what felt especially exotic were my weekends in eastern Belgium, on the Dutch border, with my Turkish, Egyptian and Lebanese… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – Thirty Years Since the Fall of the Berlin Wall: A Retrospective, Part II (November 18, 2019)

by Bill O’Grady (Due to the Thanksgiving holiday, the next report will be published on Dec. 2.) In Part I of this report, we presented the first two of four ideas about the post-Cold War era and how well they fared.  This week, we will cover the remaining two ideas and conclude with market ramifications.… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – Thirty Years Since the Fall of the Berlin Wall: A Retrospective, Part I (November 11, 2019)

by Bill O’Grady On August 13, 1961, the German Democratic Republic (GDR), otherwise known as East Germany, began construction on a barrier that would slow the emigration of Germans to the Federal Republic of Germany, known as West Germany.  Prior to the construction of the wall, it is estimated that 3.5 million East Germans emigrated… Read More »

1 2 3 24