Research & News
Asset Allocation Weekly (October 9, 2020)
by Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Later this month, the European Union will begin auctioning off bonds to facilitate its economic recovery from the pandemic. In all, the EU plans to raise up to €850 billion over the next 5-7 years, with €750 billion still awaiting approval from the European Parliament. If approved, as we… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 8, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning and happy Hydrogen Day (its atomic weight is 1.008, or “10-08”). Equity markets continue to move higher; although the S&P 500 remains below its recent peak, the market remains resilient. Today’s commentary starts with the FOMC minutes. We… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (October 8, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Here is an updated crude oil price chart. The recent dip in prices remains, although we are seeing some recovery. Commercial crude oil inventories rose 0.5 mb when a 1.2 mb decline was expected. The SPR declined 8.8 mb; since peaking at 656.1 mb… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 7, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Daily Comment today opens with a discussion of the latest coronavirus news. We haven’t led off with pandemic news very often in recent months, given that authorities and scientists are gradually getting their hands around the crisis. Today, however,… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 6, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Daily Comment today provides the latest details on President Trump’s bout with the coronavirus and related election news. We also discuss various geopolitical and economic developments overseas, including the new hot spots in the Caucasus and Central Asia (we… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Erdoğan’s Leadership and the Turkey-Greece Dispute: Part II (October 5, 2020)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF In Part I of this report last week, we took a deep look at Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s perspectives, goals, power, initiatives, and constraints. We examined how his primary aims are to regain Islam’s place in global society, seek redress for the way Islam and Turkey have been… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 5, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning and happy Monday! Equity markets continue to work higher this morning. We lead off with the president’s condition. Policy news follows, which will focus on the potential for further stimulus. There are three international areas of concern this… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 2, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF The big news this morning is that President Trump and the First Lady have contracted COVID-19. U.S. equity markets are in full retreat on the news. We address some of the potential ramifications. It’s also employment Friday; we cover the… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (October 2, 2020)
by Asset Allocation Committee | PDF The death of Ruth Bader Ginsburg was yet another political shock for 2020 in a year rife with unusual events. The year began with the first official case of COVID-19 in Washington State on January 20. The pandemic and subsequent measures to contain the virus have led to unprecedented… Read More »