Research & News
Weekly Geopolitical Report – What Population Aging Means for Global Inflation and Growth (April 19, 2021)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF One key worry for investors these days is whether fiscal stimulus, loose monetary policy, and accelerating economic growth will spark runaway inflation. That concern has been a major factor in driving down fixed income prices and boosting bond yields since the start of the year. However, we’ve been arguing… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 19, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning, and happy Monday! Global equity markets are mixed this morning, with U.S. equity futures taking a breather. Our coverage this morning starts with bitcoin, which had a rather wild weekend. Russia news follows and includes several items. China… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 16, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning, all! It has been a relatively quiet news day so far. U.S. equities are expected to open higher following strong earnings from financial firms. We will begin our coverage with more details about the Russian sanctions. International news… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (April 16, 2021)
by Asset Allocation Committee | PDF In the NBC mockumentary show The Office, the character Jim Halpert gets tricked into choosing his wife, Pam, as “Employee of the Month.” Perplexed and suspicious, coworkers begin to probe into how Jim’s wife was deserving of the award. Pam, who was also surprised, attempts to justify the result,… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 15, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning all! Risk assets are higher this morning in a quiet trade. We have a long roster of economic data this morning which we cover in detail below. Our coverage begins with the Beige Book, which turned equities lower… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (April 15, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF After consolidating for a month, prices are starting to move higher. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 5.9 mb compared to the 2.4 mb draw expected. The SPR fell 1.1 mb, meaning without the addition from the reserve, commercial inventories would have declined 7.0… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 14, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF In today’s Comment, we open with multiple geopolitical developments relating mostly to China, Russia, and the Middle East. In general, the developments point to continued tensions, but that may not be enough to spoil the positive vibe that the quarter’s… Read More »
Daily Comment (April 13, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Today’s Comment opens with various items touching on the trajectory of U.S. fiscal and monetary policy. We next turn to key international news. Finally, we review the latest developments on the coronavirus pandemic and the U.S. economy. While news of… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Geopolitics of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDC): Part IV (April 12, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF This week, we conclude our series on CBDC with market ramifications. Ramifications Money is a seminal good. As our metaphysical discussion examined, economics has tended to avoid forays into the being of money.[1] Accordingly, for the past 150 years, there have been steady changes to the use of money, from… Read More »