Research & News
Weekly Energy Update (September 3, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Here is an updated crude oil price chart. The oil market has stabilized at higher levels after April’s historic collapse. Crude oil inventories fell more than anticipated, declining 9.4 mb compared to forecasts of a 2.0 mb decline. The SPR declined 1.3 mb; since… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Trump’s Foreign Policy in a Second Term (August 31, 2020)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF (As is our custom, we will take a break for the Labor Day holiday. The next report will be published on September 7, 2020.) In our WGR last week, we examined how U.S. foreign policy might look in the event that Democratic Party nominee Joe Biden wins the November… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (August 28, 2020)
by Asset Allocation Committee | PDF As people think about the supplemental federal unemployment benefit of $600 per week that was in place through July, most would assume that if the total benefits exceed a person’s actual wages, they will choose to be unemployed instead of accepting employment. Anecdotal reports suggest that companies are running… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (August 27, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Here is an updated crude oil price chart. The oil market has stabilized at higher levels after April’s historic collapse. Crude oil inventories fell more than anticipated, declining 4.7 mb compared to forecasts of a 3.0 mb decline. The SPR declined 1.8 mb; since… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Biden’s Foreign Policy (August 24, 2020)
by Bill O’Grady | PDF Traditionally, Labor Day is considered the point when an increasing number of Americans start paying attention to the November elections. As part of our analysis of the candidates, we create dossiers of the candidates and the leading figures with whom they surround themselves. In this report, we will comment on… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly (August 21, 2020)
by Asset Allocation Committee | PDF One of the relationships we monitor is retail money market levels (RMMKs). In theory, any available liquidity could conceivably end up purchasing equities. But, RMMKs are used by investors in their brokerage accounts and thus are probably “closer” to equities compared to other forms of “near money,” such as… Read More »