Research & News

Daily Comment (September 1, 2020)

by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF In today’s Comment, we discuss the latest example of renewed U.S.-Russia military tensions, as well as recent developments in the race to succeed Japanese Prime Minister Abe.  Today’s purchasing managers’ indexes out of China and Europe were generally positive, suggesting… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – Trump’s Foreign Policy in a Second Term (August 31, 2020)

by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF (As is our custom, we will take a break for the Labor Day holiday. The next report will be published on September 7, 2020.) In our WGR last week, we examined how U.S. foreign policy might look in the event that Democratic Party nominee Joe Biden wins the November… Read More »

Daily Comment (August 31, 2020)

by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Happy Monday on this last day of August.  Risk markets are quietly higher this morning.  We begin with Japan, as leaders of the LDP jockey to replace Abe.  We update the situation in Belarus and then discuss other foreign news. … Read More »

Daily Comment (August 28, 2020)

by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Happy Friday!  Equity markets are moving higher this morning; we cover the consumer spending data below.  There is a lot happening today.  PM Abe, suffering from chronic digestive track issues, has resigned.  We recap the historic Powell speech from yesterday. … Read More »

Asset Allocation Weekly (August 28, 2020)

by Asset Allocation Committee | PDF As people think about the supplemental federal unemployment benefit of $600 per week that was in place through July, most would assume that if the total benefits exceed a person’s actual wages, they will choose to be unemployed instead of accepting employment. Anecdotal reports suggest that companies are running… Read More »

Daily Comment (August 27, 2020)

by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning.  After hitting another new high yesterday, S&P futures are consolidating this morning. There is a lot to get through today; the first revision to GDP is out and is covered below.  We lead off with Chair Powell speaking… Read More »

Daily Comment (August 26, 2020)

by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF It’s a pretty quiet news day today, which is probably fitting for the dog days of summer.  Unfortunately, the lack of news also means there’s still no discernible progress on the next coronavirus relief bill in Congress.  Another negative is… Read More »

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