Research & News

Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Who Wants US Treasurys? (February 20, 2024)

by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Before August 2023, the Treasury’s quarterly refunding rarely raised eyebrows. Investors readily snapped up US debt, and announcements were largely ignored by markets. However, Fitch Ratings’ surprise downgrade of the US credit rating from AAA to AA that month, just days after a $6 billion increase in the… Read More »

Daily Comment (February 16, 2024)

by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Our Comment today opens with more news of distorting, state-led policies in China and how they are affecting investors.  We next review a range of other international and US developments with the potential to affect the financial markets today, including new moves… Read More »

Daily Comment (February 15, 2024)

by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Our Comment today opens with a mysterious warning from Congress about a new, destabilizing military capability in Russia.  We next review a range of other international and US developments with the potential to affect the financial markets today, including multiple economic reports… Read More »

Daily Comment (February 14, 2024)

by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Our Comment today opens with new forecasts showing continued growth in the demand for liquified natural gas and how populist politics in the West could nix the resulting export opportunities.  We next review a range of other international and US developments with… Read More »

Daily Comment (February 13, 2024)

by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EST] | PDF Our Comment today opens with several notes related to China, including changes to a key index of Chinese stocks.  We next review a wide range of other international and US developments with the potential to affect the financial markets today, including a… Read More »

Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Thinking About Deterrence (February 12, 2024)

by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Daniel Ortwerth, CFA | PDF In his book Leviathan, published in 1651, the English philosopher Thomas Hobbs argued that human society in the state of nature would be marked by conflict and mistrust, as each person would be free to attack his or her neighbor to acquire needed resources. According… Read More »

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