Research & News
Daily Comment (June 24, 2026)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Our Comment focuses primarily on Venezuela’s efforts to reassert itself on the global stage following the removal of Nicolás Maduro. We then examine rising concerns around AI and monetary policy as investors reassess valuations. Finally, we briefly review the latest developments in… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 23, 2026)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Our Comment today opens with a few words on this week’s rout among technology stocks and the broader equity markets. We next review several other international and US developments that could affect the financial markets today, including a major US concession to… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Mid-Year Geopolitical Outlook (June 22, 2026)
by the Confluence Macroeconomic Team | PDF As the first half draws to a close, we typically update our geopolitical outlook for the remainder of the year. This report is less a series of predictions than it is a list of potential geopolitical issues that we think will dominate the international landscape for the rest… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 22, 2026)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Our Comment today opens with a recap of key events over the weekend in the US-Israeli war against Iran. We next review several other international and US developments that could affect the financial markets today, including the increasing risk of a trade… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 18, 2026)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Our Comment will focus primarily on the Federal Reserve meeting and the outlook for monetary policy under new leadership. We begin by examining potential shifts in the Fed’s operating framework, including a possible pullback in forward guidance. We then turn to the… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 17, 2026)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Our Comment opens with a discussion of how the United States is leveraging AI capabilities to keep key allies within its strategic orbit. We then turn to the Federal Reserve, outlining our views on its next policy direction. Next, we provide briefings… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 16, 2026)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Our Comment today opens with the latest on the US-Israeli war against Iran, including news that the US will support a rebuilding fund for Iran. We next review several other international and US developments that could affect the financial markets today, including… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 15, 2026)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Our Comment today opens with some observations about the reported US-Iran deal to extend their current ceasefire. Importantly, we think investors should consider the deal highly fragile and not necessarily enough to prevent a further spike in energy prices. On a news… Read More »