Research & News
Daily Comment (August 27, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning! U.S. equity futures are signaling a higher open this morning. Our report begins with international news focusing on the two attacks at the Kabul airport on Thursday. We also cover U.S. economics and policy, including details about growing… Read More »
Asset Allocation Weekly – This Recovery is Different (August 27, 2021)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Since the Federal Reserve was granted independence in 1951 there have been 11 recessions. Although each recession and recovery are somewhat unique, analysts tend to compare them for clues about future economic activity and policy actions. In terms of monetary policy, Chair Powell has staked out a dovish… Read More »
Daily Comment (August 26, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning. Risk assets are a bit weaker this morning. The Jackson Hole meeting kicks off today. Like last year, it will be virtual. Tomorrow will be the big day when Chair Powell speaks. We start our coverage with the… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (August 26, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF After reaching $62 per barrel support, prices have snapped back. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 3.0 mb compared to the 2.0 mb draw forecast. The SPR was unchanged this week. In the details, U.S. crude oil production was steady at 11.4 mbpd. Exports… Read More »
Daily Comment (August 25, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF We open today’s Comment with the latest on Afghanistan, where President Biden has rejected calls to extend the U.S. evacuation effort beyond his August 31 deadline. We then review a range of U.S. domestic developments, followed by some key foreign… Read More »
Daily Comment (August 24, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF In today’s Comment, we begin with the latest developments in Afghanistan. There are disturbing reports that evacuees reaching U.S. facilities in places like Doha are facing horrible conditions. We next review a range of other international and domestic news, including… Read More »
Weekly Geopolitical Report – Data and Geopolitics: Part II (August 23, 2021)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF In Part I of this report, we discussed why today’s political leaders and governments are now paying such close attention to the control of data and information, and what that means for geopolitics. In Part II, we will show how China is perhaps the best example of modern state… Read More »
Daily Comment (August 23, 2021)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Good morning and happy Monday! Schools are reopening, and it’s a risk-on day today. U.S. equity futures are higher, and gold and oil are rebounding as well. The Fed’s meeting at Jackson Hole is this week, but like last year,… Read More »