Daily Comment
Daily Comment (June 30, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] N.B. Due to the upcoming Independence Day holiday, the next issue of the Daily Comment will be published on July 5th. We want to wish you a happy and safe holiday! We expect a quiet trade today; it’s a summer Friday, there’s a holiday… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 29, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Here are some of the items we are tracking this morning: Fed stress tests give banks a green light: The banks performed well on the Federal Reserve stress tests, opening the sector to increasing dividends and stock buybacks. Bank stocks lifted the broader indices… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 28, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] There was quite a bit of news from yesterday through this morning: ECB tells market “you misunderstand”: Yesterday, ECB President Draghi gave a speech that was taken to suggest that tapering was going to occur because the Eurozone economy is doing better. The EUR… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 27, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] BREAKING NEWS: THE IMF HAS LOWERED U.S. GDP GROWTH FORECASTS FOR 2017-18. GROWTH FOR 2017 WAS CUT TO 2.1% FROM 2.3%. FOR 2018, THE FORECAST FALLS TO 2.1% FROM 2.5%. LACK OF FISCAL SPENDING ON INFRASTRUCTURE AND LACK OF TAX REFORM WERE CITED. Here… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 26, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Here’s a recap of the weekend news: Italy bails out two banks: Veneto Banca and Banca Popolare di Vicenza were declared failed by the ECB on Friday. Over the weekend, the Italian government bailed out the banks, shielding senior bondholders from losses. EU rules… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 23, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] News flow overnight was rather slow. This is typical of summer. The Senate is working on its version of health care and, no surprise, is dealing with the same problems the House faced—to make the bill palatable to moderates, it fails to garner votes… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 22, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] Most of the overnight news surrounds the oil market; we have our analysis of the weekly data below and we will offer our views on oil there. We are seeing reports that China is trying to work out a deal with North Korea in… Read More »
Daily Comment (June 21, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] In the overnight news: MSCI opens up for China: The index producer has been reluctant to add domestic shares of Chinese companies due to numerous concerns, including capital controls, lack of accounting transparency, etc. This is something of a big deal, but also not. … Read More »
Daily Comment (June 20, 2017)
by Bill O’Grady, Kaisa Stucke, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] There were five news items worth noting overnight: Carney goes dovish: Last week, the BOE voted to keep policy steady but had three dissenters. In a speech today, BOE Governor Carney focused on the economic problems that could be triggered by Brexit and suggested… Read More »