Research & News
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Importance of the Policy Mix (March 13, 2023)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Based on the strong U.S. economic data so far this year, investors have again become worried that the Federal Reserve will continue to hike interest rates aggressively and keep them high for a prolonged period. We agree that is a significant risk, and the rate hikes to date… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (March 9, 2023)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Crude oil remains in a trading range between $72-$82 per barrel. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories fell 1.7 mb compared to a 1.9 mb build forecast. The SPR was unchanged. In the details, U.S. crude oil production declined 0.1 mbpd to 12.2 mbpd. Exports… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Enter the Petroyuan (March 6, 2023)
Bill O’Grady | PDF In December, General Secretary Xi made a state visit to the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia (KSA) where he discussed the potential for trading oil in CNY. Although nothing formal was signed on this issue, Xi suggested that the KSA should trade oil and gas using the CNY for settlement. Talks between… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (March 2, 2023)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Crude oil remains in a trading range between $72-$82 per barrel. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories rose 1.2 mb compared to a 1.8 mb build forecast. The SPR was unchanged. In the details, U.S. crude oil production was unchanged at 12.3 mbpd. Exports rose… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Federal Reserve Policymakers in 2023: Hawks or Doves? (February 27, 2023)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF The Federal Reserve surprised markets when it raised its benchmark fed funds interest rate by a total of 450 bps in 2022, the most rapid increase in over 40 years. Weighed down by technology stocks, equities had their first annual decline in over a decade. The weak stock… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (February 23, 2023)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Crude oil remains in a trading range between $72-$82 per barrel. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories rose 7.6 mb compared to a 2.0 mb build forecast. The SPR was unchanged. In the details, U.S. crude oil production was unchanged at 12.3 mbpd. Exports rose… Read More »