Weekly Geopolitical Report – War Gaming: Part II (January 23, 2017)

by Bill O’Grady

Two weeks ago, we began this two-part report by examining America’s geographic situation and how it is conducive to superpower status.  This condition is problematic for foreign powers because it can be almost impossible to significantly damage America’s industrial base in a conventional war with the U.S.  In addition, it would be very difficult to launch a conventional attack against the U.S. (a) with any element of surprise, and (b) without significant logistical challenges.  The premise of this report is a “thought experiment” of sorts that examines the unconventional options foreign nations have to attack the U.S.  Although these may not lead to regime change in America, such attacks may distract U.S. policymakers enough that foreign powers could engage in regional hegemonic actions that would otherwise be opposed by the U.S.

In Part I of this report, we discussed two potential tactics to attack the U.S., a nuclear strike and a terrorist attack.  This week, we will examine cyberwarfare and disinformation.  We will conclude with market effects.

View the full report