Research & News
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Pandemic’s Impact on Inequality (July 18, 2022)
by Natalia Fields | PDF During the global coronavirus pandemic that exploded globally in 2020, perhaps the most notable economic development was the effort by governments around the world to stop the spread of infections through lockdowns, while simultaneously trying to support incomes and economic activity via loose fiscal, monetary, and regulatory policies. Importantly, the… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 18, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, where Russia appears to be ramping up its ground attacks and missile barrages again after a partial operational pause. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 15, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF In today’s Comment, we will provide updates on U.K. elections, Draghi’s resignation, and possible price caps, all of which are potential threats to the Western bloc’s unification against Russia. Next, we discuss international news with a focus on China’s latest GDP. We… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 14, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Today’s Comment begins with a discussion about the latest CPI report and its impact on the Federal Reserve’s decision to raise rates. We then briefly review Biden’s trip to Israel. Next, we give an update on the latest development from Russia’s war… Read More »
Weekly Energy Update (July 14, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Thomas Wash, and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF Since early June, oil prices have fallen significantly, breaking the psychologically important point of $100 per barrel. Technical support exists at $95 per barrel, so we will be watching to see if it holds. (Source: Barchart.com) Crude oil inventories rose 3.3 mb compared to… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 13, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war. Both sides remain in an operational pause, of sorts, but they continue to stage limited, localized attacks on each other. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S.… Read More »
2022 Outlook: Update #2 – The Tails Become Fatter (July 12, 2022)
by Bill O’Grady, Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Mark Keller, CFA | PDF In our 2022 Outlook: The Year of Fat Tails, we outlined a forecast with a higher likelihood of events outside the norm. To compensate for the unusual level of uncertainty, we promised to provide frequent updates to the forecast. This report is the… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 12, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, focusing on the two sides’ artillery attacks even as they remain generally in an operational pause. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential… Read More »
Daily Comment (July 11, 2022)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM EDT] | PDF Our Comment today opens with an update on the Russia-Ukraine war, although there is relatively little to report since both sides remain in an operational pause. We next review a wide range of other international and U.S. developments with the potential to… Read More »