Research & News
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – The US Presidential Election: Foreign Policy Implications (October 7, 2024)
by Daniel Ortwerth, CFA and Thomas Wash | PDF History shows that, despite the promises made as candidates, United States presidents display remarkable foreign policy consistency from one administration to the next. While often distinguishing themselves in the realm of domestic policy, the imperatives of national security tend to force the hands of presidents into… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 3, 2024)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Good morning! The market is currently awaiting the release of the jobs report data and Israel’s response to Iran. In sports news, Lionel Messi’s Inter Miami has won the 2024 Supporters’ Shield for the second year in a row. Today’s Comment will… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 2, 2024)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Good morning! Markets are still grappling with the ongoing Middle Eastern conflict. Today’s Comment will analyze the escalating Israel-Iran tensions, explore the reasons behind the positive surprise from JOLTS, and provide our perspective on the recent vice presidential debate. Finally, we’ll conclude… Read More »
Daily Comment (October 1, 2024)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA, and Thomas Wash [Posted: 9:30 AM ET] | PDF Our Comment today opens with news that consumer price inflation in the eurozone is now below the European Central Bank’s target of 2% for the first time in three years — a development that portends further interest-rate cuts and potentially renewed depreciation… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Presidential Cycles and Stock Performance (September 30, 2024)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF As the November elections approach, there has been significant debate over which presidential candidate — former President Donald Trump or Vice President Kamala Harris — would be better for US equity markets. Both candidates have made bold promises about their plans to boost national prosperity. Trump has vowed… Read More »
Bi-Weekly Geopolitical Report – Eight Megatrends Every Investor Should Know (September 23, 2024)
by Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA | PDF One of the defining characteristics of our investment strategy work here at Confluence is that we pay close attention to big, global trends in geopolitics, economics and trade, demographics, technology, and even social and political developments. We then try to determine how to incorporate those trends into our strategies,… Read More »