Weekly Geopolitical Report

Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Rise of AMLO: Part II (March 20, 2017)

by Thomas Wash In their next general election, Mexicans will cast their vote for the 64th president of the country’s history. The two frontrunners are Margarita Zavala from the National Action Party and Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) from the National Regeneration Movement (MORENA). Although the election won’t be held until July 2018, current polls suggest… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Rise of AMLO: Part I (March 13, 2017)

by Thomas Wash Although many populist movements today, especially in the West, are viewed as a recent phenomenon, it is worth noting that Latin America has had a long history with populism. Populists in South American history include Hugo Chavez in Venezuela, Juan and Eva Perón, along with Nestor and Cristina Kirchner, in Argentina, Juan Evo… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – The Assassination of Kim Jong Nam (March 6, 2017)

by Bill O’Grady On February 13th, Kim Jong Nam, the older half-brother of Kim Jong Un, the leader of the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (DPRK), was assassinated at an airport in Malaysia.  This event offers insights into the “Hermit Kingdom” and shows the audacious nature of the regime. In this report, we begin with a… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – Germany: The Reluctant Superpower (February 27, 2017)

by Bill O’Grady Two recent articles caught our attention.  First, the New York Times discussed growing worries in Germany about a post-American Europe,[1] given the potential withdrawal of the U.S. from the superpower role.  Second, an op-ed in Der Spiegel went so far as to suggest that Germany should become the world leader of an anti-Trump coalition.[2]… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – Nuclear Blackmail (February 13, 2017)

by Bill O’Grady (N.B.  Due to the upcoming President’s Day holiday, the next report will be published on Feb. 27th) During the 1950s, in the early days of nuclear weapons, there was much discussion about the potential for nuclear blackmail.  The world had recently defeated fascism but the problem of an aggressive and amoral leader like… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – Exit the Shark (February 6, 2017)

by Bill O’Grady On January 8, Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani died of a heart attack.  The 82-year-old cleric was a major political figure in Iran and his passing is a significant event for Iran and the region. Analyses of history usually follow one of two lines—the “Great Man” or the “Great Wave.”[1]  The former postulates that the… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – Future of the Euro (January 30, 2017)

by Thomas Wash January 1, 2017, marked the 18th anniversary of the induction of the euro, the European single currency. Once praised as the uniting force among European countries, the euro has become a source of populist backlash. From Greece to France, populist politicians have increased their political clout to the chagrin of the establishment.… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – War Gaming: Part II (January 23, 2017)

by Bill O’Grady Two weeks ago, we began this two-part report by examining America’s geographic situation and how it is conducive to superpower status.  This condition is problematic for foreign powers because it can be almost impossible to significantly damage America’s industrial base in a conventional war with the U.S.  In addition, it would be very… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – War Gaming: Part I (January 9, 2017)

by Bill O’Grady (Due to Martin Luther King Jr. Day, Part II of this report will be published on January 23.) One of the key elements of global hegemony is the ability of a nation to project power.  Ideally, this means a potential hegemon needs local security.  In other words, a nation that faces significant proximate… Read More »

Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2017 Geopolitical Outlook (December 12, 2016)

by Bill O’Grady (This will be the last WGR for 2016.  The next report will be published on January 9, 2017.) As is our custom, we close out the current year with our outlook for the next one.  This report is less a series of predictions as it is a list of potential geopolitical issues that… Read More »

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