Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2020 Geopolitical Outlook (December 16, 2019)

by Bill O’Grady and Patrick Fearon-Hernandez, CFA

(This is the last report for 2019; the next report will be published January 13, 2020.)

As is our custom, in mid-December, we publish our geopolitical outlook for the upcoming year.  This report is less a series of predictions as it is a list of potential geopolitical issues that we believe will dominate the international landscape for 2020.  It is not designed to be exhaustive; instead, it focuses on the “big picture” conditions that we believe will affect policy and markets going forward.  They are listed in order of importance.

Issue #1: U.S. 2020 Presidential Election

Issue #2: Iran

Issue #3: China’s Debt

Issue #4: Demographics

Issue #5: North Korea

Honorable Mentions…

View the full report