Weekly Geopolitical Report – The 2016 Geopolitical Outlook (December 14, 2015)

by Bill O’Grady

As is our custom, we close out the current year with our outlook for the next one.  This report is less a series of predictions as it is a list of potential geopolitical issues that we believe will dominate the international landscape in the upcoming year.  It is not designed to be exhaustive; instead, it focuses on the “big picture” conditions that we believe will affect policy and markets going forward.  They are listed in order of importance.

Issue #1: The Election Transition

Issue #2: Western Populism

Issue #3: Small-Scale Islamic Terrorism

Issue #4: The Weakening of the European Union

Issue #5: Trouble in the South China Sea

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