Asset Allocation Reports

Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Federal Reserve’s Big Policy Mistake (September 19, 2022)

by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF If you look at how stocks and other risk assets have lost value since Fed Chair Powell’s short, hawkish speech at Jackson Hole last month, it’s clear he has succeeded in resetting expectations for monetary policy.  Investors now seem to accept that the Fed plans to hike interest… Read More »

Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Storm Warning (September 6, 2022)

by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Throughout this year, there has been much talk (and confusion) about recession.  Officially, the National Bureau of Economic Research is the formal arbiter of recession.  This private group of economists assesses when there is a broad-based decline in economic activity and when that activity recovers.  It then tells… Read More »

Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Inflation Surprise (August 22, 2022)

by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF July inflation came in below expectations.  On a yearly basis, the market expected an overall rate of 8.7%, while the actual reading was 8.5%.  For core CPI, the actual was 5.9% compared to expectations of 6.1%.  Perhaps the most bullish part of the report was the monthly change,… Read More »

Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – The Devil Is in the Details (August 8, 2022)

by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF U.S. policymakers used deregulation and globalization to corral inflation from 1966 to 1982.  Unfortunately, that policy was at odds with America’s superpower role, which required the U.S. to act as global importer of last resort.  If the U.S. didn’t consume all the goods the world wanted to sell… Read More »

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