Asset Allocation Reports
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – U.S. Oil Production at a Record High (February 5, 2024)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF These days, because investors have so many different assets to buy in so many different financial markets, it can be easy to miss an important trend or change in trend. Indeed, that seems to be the case with crude oil, where the long stagnation in U.S. output after… Read More »
Asset Allocation Quarterly (First Quarter 2024)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF The likelihood of a recession occurring during our forecast period has declined. Domestic economic growth should be robust over the forecast period, although momentum has slowed. Elevated geopolitical tensions and ambiguity related to the U.S. elections are likely to create volatility in the markets. Inflation volatility is likely… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – How Does Powell Define Restrictive Monetary Policy? (January 22, 2024)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF Traditionally, the term “restrictive monetary policy” has been associated with a fed funds interest rate that is high enough to slow economic activity, but recent remarks from Federal Reserve Chair Powell suggest there may be a broader interpretation. Despite casting doubts on rate cuts just two weeks prior,… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – A Pause That Refreshes? (December 4, 2023)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF (Note: This is the final AABW of 2023; the next report will be published in January 2024.) In 1929, Coca-Cola® introduced the tagline “a pause that refreshes.” Although other advertising campaigns have come and gone, this line still sticks around in the public consciousness. And, it has moved… Read More »
Asset Allocation Bi-Weekly – Reflections on Earnings (November 20, 2023)
by the Asset Allocation Committee | PDF The third quarter’s earnings season is coming to a close and, once again, earnings beat expectations. In this report, we will take a more in-depth look at S&P 500 earnings and overall corporate earnings. This chart examines S&P 500 earnings on a four-quarter trailing basis. We have regressed… Read More »